Andreas
14.05.2002, 17:39
Den folgenden Artikel bekam ich von Herrn Santa Subha aus Kathmandu. Er beschreibt eindrucksvoll die derzeitige politische Situation in Nepal und bringt die Dinge scharfsinnig auf den Punkt. Es scheint Hoffnung zu geben!
Where Nepal is Heading?
At this point it is important to analyze the political situation in Nepal to give us either hope or despair. At present there are 6 different forces that are playing their hand that will ultimately give direction to the future of Nepal. And this depends upon how these forces balance with each other and their interest.
The government of the present Prime Minister and Maoist are two major forces that are pulling in opposite direction. In between there are main opposition parties of UML (United Marxist-Leninist)-a left leaning force and RPP (Rastra Prajatantra Party)-consist of politician from Panchayat-Raj dominated by the king. Beside them there are several small parties with different ideologies and objectives. All of these parties are by-products of the democratic movement of 1989 (2046 BS),therefore they professed to abide by the present constitution. On top of that the King is a formidable force with the backing of the military and considerable sympathy of the people depending the policy he would follow.
Now the Maoist is seeking way out for negotiation. And the Prime Minister is rebuffing their approach. Other political parties between them are chanting for peace and looking for a meaningful role. Now the question is how to bell the cat in one hand and in the other hand the Maoist have proven that they are indeed a clever mouse. Given the past’s circumstance of broken negotiation the prime minister who came into power to bring peace went to war and the president of his party who want all out war against the Maoist when he was Prime Minister is now asking for peace through negotiation. Except the people in the government other parties would rather like to have a national government but the Congress government is reluctant to let go of the power they hold; they even do not want to share power with their own fellow friends in their party.
No matter how much muscle and money support the present government might get from the foreign powers it is evident that they are in no win situation because the solution lies within not outside. And the Maoist is also in bad shape because of unfavorable international condition due to war on terrorism and the recent news report of their main backer, People\'s War Group in India, have abandoned weapons to reach their goal. There are also reports that insurgency in North Eastern region of India is slowing down which means the arms delivery route is in critical cut of stage. Meanwhile the ambassador of People\'s Republic of China disapproved the methods used by the Maoist in the name of Mao Tse Tung. All these events have happened very fast within the past 10 days.
Therefore, there is strong reason to believe that the nightmare is about to end. There is a saying in Nepal that Nepalese would do everything in the last minute no matter how long in advance they plan. Most recent example is the hosting of South Asia Regional Conference (SARC) in Kathmandu where the government did everything in one week that would have taken them at least 3 years. So, in about two-week time the extended emergency power of the government is about to end. To continue it the government requires another extension approved by the peoples\' representatives; the appropriate use of this timing for approval would be crucial for peace, hope and aspiration of the general people and mountain lovers around the world. Let God all mighty prevail upon the petty interests to bring peace once again in this Himalayan Kingdom.
Schöne Grüße,
Andreas
Where Nepal is Heading?
At this point it is important to analyze the political situation in Nepal to give us either hope or despair. At present there are 6 different forces that are playing their hand that will ultimately give direction to the future of Nepal. And this depends upon how these forces balance with each other and their interest.
The government of the present Prime Minister and Maoist are two major forces that are pulling in opposite direction. In between there are main opposition parties of UML (United Marxist-Leninist)-a left leaning force and RPP (Rastra Prajatantra Party)-consist of politician from Panchayat-Raj dominated by the king. Beside them there are several small parties with different ideologies and objectives. All of these parties are by-products of the democratic movement of 1989 (2046 BS),therefore they professed to abide by the present constitution. On top of that the King is a formidable force with the backing of the military and considerable sympathy of the people depending the policy he would follow.
Now the Maoist is seeking way out for negotiation. And the Prime Minister is rebuffing their approach. Other political parties between them are chanting for peace and looking for a meaningful role. Now the question is how to bell the cat in one hand and in the other hand the Maoist have proven that they are indeed a clever mouse. Given the past’s circumstance of broken negotiation the prime minister who came into power to bring peace went to war and the president of his party who want all out war against the Maoist when he was Prime Minister is now asking for peace through negotiation. Except the people in the government other parties would rather like to have a national government but the Congress government is reluctant to let go of the power they hold; they even do not want to share power with their own fellow friends in their party.
No matter how much muscle and money support the present government might get from the foreign powers it is evident that they are in no win situation because the solution lies within not outside. And the Maoist is also in bad shape because of unfavorable international condition due to war on terrorism and the recent news report of their main backer, People\'s War Group in India, have abandoned weapons to reach their goal. There are also reports that insurgency in North Eastern region of India is slowing down which means the arms delivery route is in critical cut of stage. Meanwhile the ambassador of People\'s Republic of China disapproved the methods used by the Maoist in the name of Mao Tse Tung. All these events have happened very fast within the past 10 days.
Therefore, there is strong reason to believe that the nightmare is about to end. There is a saying in Nepal that Nepalese would do everything in the last minute no matter how long in advance they plan. Most recent example is the hosting of South Asia Regional Conference (SARC) in Kathmandu where the government did everything in one week that would have taken them at least 3 years. So, in about two-week time the extended emergency power of the government is about to end. To continue it the government requires another extension approved by the peoples\' representatives; the appropriate use of this timing for approval would be crucial for peace, hope and aspiration of the general people and mountain lovers around the world. Let God all mighty prevail upon the petty interests to bring peace once again in this Himalayan Kingdom.
Schöne Grüße,
Andreas