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phacops
02.06.2004, 10:09
Interessante breaking news aus Nepalnews (Auszug):

Deuba new PM
State-owned Nepal Television announced at 11:00 am that Sher Bahadur Deuba has been named the new prime minister.
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The king has asked Deuba to form a government that includes other political parties and to hold elections within 2061 BS.
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nepalnews.com June 02 04

Mal sehen, ob sich die Politik Nepals doch Verbesserungen für Land und Leute bringt...

phacops

Andreas
03.06.2004, 15:24
Naja, von Deuba persönlich wird wohl nicht allzuviel zu erwarten sein. Aber der 5-Parteien-Allianz ist damit wohl ein wenig Wind aus den Segeln genommen! Zumindest ein Konfliktpotential könnte damit zum Ende kommen.

Es gilt abzuwarten, ob wirklich heuer noch Wahlen stattfinden und ich frage mich, wie freie und gerechte Wahlen möglich sein werden, wenn mehr als die Hälfte des Landes von nur einer 'Partei', nämlich den Maoisten, beherrscht wird.

Im Grunde genommen grenzt es ja schon an ein Wunder, dass in Nepal angesichts der jahrelangen Probleme nicht schon längst das totale Chaos, einhergehend mit einer 'Balkanisierung', ausgebrochen ist!

Andreas

phacops
07.06.2004, 18:48
Ein Bericht (Zitat-Auszug) von ¤*#South Asia Intelligence Review vom 07.06.04 über die Einflüsse der Maoisten.
Nicht sehr ermutigend für die zukunft des Landes imho.

phacops

SAIR 2/47 , 07.06.2004:
Maoists Overrun the Hinterland
Guest Writer: Keshab Poudel
Managing Editor, Spotlight, Kathmandu

After a political vacuum of 22 days, King Gyanendra of Nepal has appointed a new Prime Minister, Sher Bahadur Deuba, ending political uncertainty at the Center. Despite Deuba's appointment, however, the country's rural hinterland remains outside the authority of the state apparatus and lacks the presence of elected representatives to govern the areas.

In his first public statement, Prime Minister Deuba called on the Maoists to come to the negotiating table, but the latter are yet to respond to the invitation.
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The Maoist leader further urged all his cadres to continue their armed struggle.

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From the hills and mountains of the North to the plains of southern Terai bordering India, the Government has already pulled out of police stations, forest offices and other local administrative units in the rural areas. The Maoists are destroying the remaining administrative infrastructure, such as Village Development Committees (VDCs) and ward offices.

Following the resignation of Prime Minister Surya Bahadur Thapa on May 7, the Maoists intensified their activities in the rural areas, increasing pressure for the resignation of nominated heads of VDCs and District Development Committee (DDC) chiefs, and routinely imposing long term blockades in various parts of the country, forcing farmers to destroy their vegetables, crops and milk produce, as they are not allowed to move their goods to the market. After evicting the elected representatives from villages, the Maoists have now started to infiltrate the education sector, abducting more than 5,000 teachers and thousands of students. The schoolteachers are being abducted en masse in order to retrain them in the Maoists' 'People's Education System'.
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Having forced most political activists out of the villages, the Maoists had turned their attention to the nominated heads of local bodies ever since they took office. They issued many threats and even killed some of them, provoking a spate of resignations, which have hit the people the hardest.
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The Maoists have also compelled western donor countries to suspend their projects in many rural areas of the far western region. Local Maoists recently issued orders to non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and International non-governmental organizations (INGOs) working in the areas to register themselves with the Maoist 'authorities'. The intention is clearly to increase the sphere of Maoist influence in the rural areas and to assert their authority. The Maoists have already set up 'Village People's Governments', 'District People's Governments' and 'Regional Autonomous Bodies'.

The Maoists have also demanded a role in defining the way resources are spent in programs sponsored by different donor countries. The growing pressure has compelled some donors to suspend their programs. Just a month ago, Germany's Technical Cooperation (GTZ), the Department of International Development (DFID) and Netherlands' Development Organization (SNV-Nepal) temporarily suspended their development activities in five districts of the far western region. As a result of the decision, more than 55,000 poor Nepalese living in the conflict zones are immediately affected. Many INGOs, such as Save the Children USA, the Lutheran World Service and others, have already pulled out from the far-western districts.

According to the National Planning Commission, the far western region of Nepal has the largest proportion of the population living below the poverty line, as compared to other regions. With the national average of 40 per cent of the population living below the poverty line, the four districts of Kailali, Kanchanpur, Achham and Dadeldhura in the far western region have the highest concentration of poverty. The report indicates that 72 per cent of the population in the hills and mountains of this region live below the poverty line - the highest among Nepal's five geographical zones.

In a situation where Maoists continue to destroy the last vestiges of central authority in the rural areas, the Government appears to be losing its grip completely. According to the World Bank's Nepal Country Assistance Strategy, 2004-2007, the insurgency has increasingly challenged the fragile economy - the costs have been estimated at 8-10 per cent of GDP, including:

damage to infrastructure, e.g., over one-third of the 3,900 VDC buildings have been destroyed;
lost economic activity due to Bandhs - i.e. strikes - that have been taking place with greater frequency and often lasting 2-3 days; and
a generally low level of economic activity caused by decreased business confidence and low tourism.
Furthermore, there has been a large direct impact on the livelihood of millions of primarily rural-based individuals, among whom killings, extortion, confiscation of goods and properties, forced recruitment, and infrastructure destruction, have created terror and resulted in migration, decreased agricultural production and declining living standards. It is estimated that more than 300,000 people have migrated to the Kathmandu valley in the recent past.

The costs of repeated economic blockades have also been very high and the farmers have been loosing millions of dollars in market sales. According to the Government's assessment, any impact on the agricultural sector is likely to trigger widespread alarm, since 76 per cent of the total population (23 million) are engaged in this sector in Nepal. Agriculture accounts for 40 per cent of total GDP. For 90 per cent of the poor, i.e. households in the bottom 25 per cent of the consumption scale, agriculture is the only income generating activity. Maoist moves to derail the agricultural sector could have a crippling impact on the national economy. Dr. Shankar Sharma, vice chairman of the National Planning Commission, notes that, "The economic blockade by the Maoists will have a long term impact on the Nepalese economy. Farmers have already suffered huge loss in the last two months frequent blockade. It will affect the annual GDP."

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